AGP Executive Report

Food & Energy Inflation Watch: Bloomberg’s Agri Index jumped 13.5% in August, the biggest monthly rise since the Arab Spring era, as El Niño, higher fertilizer/diesel costs, and Black Sea/Hormuz disruptions raise fresh food-crisis risks. Power & Public Services: Libya’s Labour Ministry ordered solar panels for ministry buildings, aiming to cut electricity demand amid blackouts that have already disrupted hospitals and sparked unrest. Oil Sector Pressure: Protesters shut down the Mellitah oil and gas complex over persistent power outages, warning of knock-on effects for the grid and gas exports. Crime & Supply Chains: Zawia Criminal Court convicted 10 over diesel and food smuggling, with sentences ranging from 15 to 18 years. Mining & Transition: Libya’s National Mining Corporation joined a national dialogue on transforming Libya’s strategic energy sector toward sustainable systems. Digital Policy: Libya’s digital economy minister took part in an Arab States forum in Doha led by Ooredoo and UNDP on digital and AI policy implementation. Migration Human Cost: A 14-year-old smuggler was arrested in Greece after allegedly moving 43 people from Libya to Gavdos for payment.

Libya Energy Disruption: Protesters shut down the Mellitah oil and gas complex near Tripoli, blaming persistent power outages and worsening services—raising fresh concerns for exports and the Greenstream pipeline that feeds Italy. Healthcare Under Strain: Open-heart surgeries for children at Tripoli University Hospital were cancelled due to power cuts and limited diesel for generators, leaving a visiting US medical team and families in limbo. Oil Sector Operations & Skills: Libya’s National Oil Corporation held talks with US universities and the US Embassy to improve training quality and streamline visa procedures for trainees. Business & Investment Links: Saudi companies are reportedly eyeing expansion into Libya after meetings with Libyan officials, with plans for further bilateral talks to set up partnerships. Digital & AI Policy: Ooredoo Group and UNDP convened Arab digital and AI policy leaders in Doha, with Libya’s digital economy minister among participants—aimed at turning regional tech ambitions into workable rules. Cyber Resilience Deal: Mindware signed with Veeam to distribute data-resilience and recovery solutions across the Middle East and includes Libya, targeting ransomware and business continuity needs. Regional Energy Outlook: ADIPEC 2026 in Abu Dhabi (Nov 2–5) is set to feature Libya’s oil and gas minister alongside other African energy leaders, signaling stronger North Africa–Gulf investment focus.

Libya’s Elections Roadmap: Rival Libyan camps signed a UN-mediated “4+4 committee” agreement in Tripoli, aiming for presidential and legislative elections within 24 months, though armed factions and mistrust still make implementation uncertain. Energy & Water Security: NOC completed long-stalled technical works at the Zuwara desalination plant, restarting gas pumping from Mellitah to support operations and reduce reliance on costlier liquid fuels; separately, Rosgeologia began searching for underground water in Libya’s Sahara, a potential boost for a country heavily dependent on fossil aquifers. Oil Market Operations: Al-Brega reported continued fuel distribution from the Sabha depot to southern stations, including 1.11m liters of gasoline and 150k liters of diesel, as it works to restore regular supply. Finance & Legal Risk: Libyan Foreign Bank filed an ICSID arbitration claim against Burkina Faso over the 2024 nationalisation of its 50-50 bank stake, seeking compensation (amount undisclosed). Aviation Links: Libyan Express announced three new direct flights to Malta, Rome and Milan starting 6 September, alongside EASA-certified maintenance cooperation in Misrata. Regional Security Cooperation: U.S. SOCAFRICA met Libyan military leaders to strengthen Libya-led coordination and set up expanded cooperation under Flintlock 27. Trade/Connectivity: Libya’s oil minister said Libya could help Europe’s energy security by increasing gas flows via GreenStream, while also calling for closer EU and international company collaboration.

Libya’s Energy & Power: NOC says it has finished technical and mechanical works at the long-shut Zuwara water desalination plant, starting gas pumping from Mellitah to prepare for operations. Electricity Grid Stability: GECOL reports a partial blackout in western Libya after two major transmission circuits tripped, and says it’s investigating whether the disturbance was technical or sabotage. Fuel Supply Push: Al-Brega continues distributing fuel from the Sabha depot to southern stations, reporting 1.11m liters of gasoline and 150,000 liters of diesel delivered as supplies expand. Aviation & Connectivity: Libyan Express will launch three new direct flights to Malta, Rome and Milan on 6 September, partnering with Aeroitalia and 4Airways and linking also to EASA-certified maintenance cooperation. Diplomacy & Business Climate: Libya’s oil minister says Libya can help Europe’s energy security by expanding gas exports via GreenStream, while noting current volumes are far below capacity. Regional Security Cooperation: SOCAFRICA’s commander met Libyan military leaders to deepen coordination and support a more unified Libya, tying security cooperation to economic opportunity. International Legal Watch: A US judge scheduled a hearing in the Lockerbie bombing case involving a former Libyan intelligence official, with trial delays tied to new material.

Fuel & Energy Stability: Al-Brega says it kept loading fuel from the Sabha depot and expanded deliveries to southern stations, distributing 1.11m liters of gasoline and 150,000 liters of diesel as it works to restore regular supply. Grid Reliability: GECOL reported a partial blackout in western Libya after two major transmission circuits tripped, with an investigation underway to determine whether faults or sabotage caused the frequency drop. Fuel Crisis Easing: Brega Petroleum Marketing Company says petrol queues should ease from tonight, with normal supply operations expected by tomorrow as remaining tankers finish discharge. International Finance: Libya’s Libyan Foreign Bank filed an ICSID arbitration case against Burkina Faso over the 2024 nationalisation of a 50-50 bank stake, escalating a dispute over compensation and compliance. Energy Diplomacy: Libya’s oil and gas minister told Europe it can help close the energy gap, citing GreenStream gas capacity and the Strait of Hormuz constraints. Water Security: Russia’s Rosgeologia has begun searching for underground water in Libya’s Sahara, aiming to support a country heavily reliant on fossil aquifers. Diplomatic Reset: Syria and Libya agreed to reopen Syria’s Tripoli embassy after 14 years and reactivate a joint committee, with consular services and cooperation on trade and security on the agenda. Regional Context: AU leaders in Luanda discussed peace and security reforms, naming Libya among key instability hotspots.

Libya-Syria Diplomacy: Syria reopened its Tripoli embassy after 14 years, with Libya’s PM Dbeibah and Syrian FM Asaad al-Shibani agreeing to reactivate the joint higher committee and boost security, consular services, and economic cooperation. Elections Framework: Libya’s “4+4” process is framed as nearing resolution on election laws and the High National Elections Commission, but the real test may come after results are announced. Fuel Supply Watch: Brega Petroleum says Libya’s fuel crisis is easing, with petrol station congestion expected to subside tonight and supplies returning to normal by tomorrow, citing shipping disruptions and reduced Zawia refinery output. Electricity Pressure: Libya’s summer power crisis is described as escalating into a security risk, with protests linked to gas supply disruptions and grid instability. Banking Dispute: Libya’s state bank has taken Burkina Faso to the World Bank’s ICSID over the nationalisation of a 50-50 bank stake, with compensation amounts not yet disclosed. Energy Cooperation: Libya’s Oil Ministry met Norway’s energy minister at ONS 2026 to expand petroleum know-how, offshore development, renewables, and training. Construction Costs: Cement prices reportedly fell to LD 82 per quintar as the AUCC Zliten factory restarted, after earlier disruptions. Healthcare Push: A US medical team is supporting paediatric heart procedures at Tripoli University Hospital, with 16 successful surgeries/catheterizations reported so far.

Libya Power & Fuel Watch: Libya’s summer electricity crisis is nearing a breaking point after protests at the Mellitah gas complex escalated into a security incident that halted output at key oil fields, while power cuts of up to 20 hours a day strain households and businesses. Fuel Supply Updates: Brega Petroleum Marketing says it is running continuous 24-hour fuel distribution, including petrol and diesel deliveries across Tripoli, West Coast, Mountain, Misrata and the Eastern Region. Banking & Corruption Case: Libya’s Public Prosecution ordered detention of two Jumhouria Bank employees in Mizran and Mellitah over embezzling about 9.9 million dinars, allegedly transferring funds to relatives to hide their origin. Healthcare Localization: A visiting US medical team is supporting paediatric open-heart surgeries and cardiac catheterization at Tripoli University Hospital as Libya pushes to localize paediatric treatment. Trade & Industry: Egypt and Libya discussed a permanent Egyptian products expo in Benghazi (with an April 2027 first session), while Libya also explored localizing prosthetics production to cut reliance on foreign care. Regional Diplomacy: Qatar is expanding its diplomatic outreach in Libya, including a senior visit to Benghazi to meet eastern leadership and discuss cooperation. Business-Legal: Libya’s Foreign Bank filed a claim at the World Bank tribunal after Burkina Faso nationalized its 50% stake in a joint bank.

Electricity & Fuel Crunch: Libya’s summer power crisis is still volatile as protests hit the Mellitah gas complex and outages reach up to 20 hours in some areas, while Brega Petroleum says it’s running 24/7 fuel distribution and reporting fresh tanker arrivals to ease queues. Grid Expansion: GECOL has started operations at the first unit of the South Tripoli power station (about 1,300MW), with expectations for faster supply to the public. Banking Crime: Jumhouria Bank employees at Mizran and Mellitah were detained over embezzling about 9.9 million dinars via transfers to relatives’ accounts. Trade & Industry: Egypt and Libya discussed a permanent trade expo in Benghazi, with an annual industrial integration exhibition planned for April 2027. Healthcare Localization: Libya is exploring localizing the prosthetics industry to cut reliance on foreign care by partnering with specialized international firms and building local capacity. Consumer Costs: Rising school-supplies prices are being blamed on inflation pressures, with diesel shortages pushing transporters to buy fuel on the parallel market. Energy Projects: Waha Oil says it boosted gas processing at Al-Faragh after commissioning a second-phase gas separation filter, raising output to 184 million cubic feet per day. Diplomacy: Qatar is expanding its political and economic outreach in Libya, including a senior visit to Benghazi and talks with LNA leadership. Finance Dispute: Libya’s Foreign Bank filed a claim at the World Bank tribunal against Burkina Faso after the state seized its 50% stake in a joint bank.

Libya Fuel Relief: Tripoli’s Security Directorates Support Unit says five supervised stations supplied diesel to nearly 7,000 trucks from 21–24 August, with mobile filling points near Airport Road helping clear long queues and easing the wider trucking crisis. Power Crunch Update: GECOL says it has started operating the first unit at the new South Tripoli power station (about 1,300MW total capacity), aiming to connect to the grid and reduce Libya’s summer blackouts. Energy Output Boost: Waha Oil reports commissioning the second phase of gas separation filters at Al-Faragh, lifting gas processing from ~150 to 184 million cubic feet per day. Market Pressure on Families: Libya’s consumer protection chief Ahmed Al-Kurdi warns school-supply prices are rising as diesel shortages push transporters to buy fuel on the parallel market at 8–10 dinars per liter, feeding through to household costs. Security & Migration: Armed clashes in Zawiya and Surman triggered a mass escape from Surman jail, a migrant detention facility, raising concerns about detainees and humanitarian fallout. Foreign Diplomacy: Qatar’s senior foreign minister visited Tripoli and Benghazi, meeting both Tripoli-linked officials and LNA commander Saddam Haftar to expand political, economic, and military cooperation. Oil & Investment: Eni is seeking a rig for development drilling on its offshore Structure E project in Block NC 41, with Mellitah pushing ahead on a semi-submersible approach.

Libya Fuel Relief: Tripoli’s Security Directorates Support Unit says supervised stations supplied diesel to nearly 7,000 trucks between 21-24 August, using mobile filling points off Airport Road to ease long queues and potentially lower generator fuel costs for households and businesses. Power Sector Update: GECOL says it has started operating the first unit at the new South Tripoli power station (about 1,300MW total capacity), aiming to connect it to the grid after weeks of summer blackouts. Consumer Prices Under Pressure: Libya’s consumer protection chief Ahmed Al-Kurdi links sharp school-supplies price hikes to transport costs and diesel shortages, saying diesel can cost 8-10 dinars on the parallel market versus the official 15 piastres. Trade & Investment Links: Misrata Chamber of Commerce met China’s petroleum industry business group to discuss investment, factories, and industrial solar projects. Regional Diplomacy: Qatar expanded its Libya outreach with meetings in Tripoli and Benghazi, signaling deeper cooperation with both sides after years of strain. Oil & Gas Operations: Waha Oil reports commissioning of a second-phase gas separation filter at Al-Faragh, lifting gas processing to 184 million cubic feet per day.

Libya Power & Fuel Crisis: Long power cuts and severe fuel shortages are disrupting daily life across Libya, with experts pointing to corruption, weak governance, and years of poor maintenance at power plants; Libya holds about 48 billion barrels of proven oil reserves but produces only around a third of the fuel it needs for domestic consumption, and last year imported $7.8bn in fuel. Oil & Gas Development: Eni is seeking a rig for development drilling on its offshore Structure E project in Block NC 41, while Mellitah (Eni/NOC) is pushing ahead with plans for a semi-submersible rig for a multi-well campaign. Trade & Logistics: Ignazio Messina & C. will launch the West Med Line in September, merging Algeria and Libya services to improve transit times and boost frequency across the Western Mediterranean, with regular departures linking Spain, France, Libya and Algeria. Business Cooperation: Misrata Chamber of Commerce met China’s Chamber of Commerce for Petroleum Industries to discuss investment, industrial solar projects, and technology transfer in oil, petrochemicals, and renewables. Energy Policy Talk: Libya’s Oil Minister Abdel Sadig used ONS 2026 to stress energy security as national security, calling for diversified supply, long-term partnerships, and investment in gas, renewables, and efficiency. Migration Pressure Point: Greece says Crete has emerged as the main pressure point for migrant smugglers operating from Libya, with more than 12,000 arrivals reported so far this year. US Visa Ruling Impact: A US federal court struck down a Department of State immigrant visa ban affecting 75 countries, including Libya, after generalized public-charge concerns. OIC Leadership: Mauritanian diplomat Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed was elected OIC secretary-general, with prior UN experience including work tied to Libya. AI for Arabic: Nanovate says it is building Arabic-native AI infrastructure for MENA, aiming to make Arabic a core language for AI agents and voice/chat assistants rather than a translated add-on. Questor Results (Non-Libya): Questor Technology reported weak Q2 2026 financials, with revenue down sharply and adjusted EBITDA negative, underscoring broader market stress.

Libya Energy & Trade: Libya’s Oil and Gas Minister Khalifa Abdel Sadig pushed energy security and a diversified power mix at Norway’s ONS 2026, while Libya’s NOC keeps moving projects forward via new crude flow measurement at Sidra and production-sharing momentum with Chevron; Libya also hosted talks with Spain’s ambassador ahead of the Dec 2-3 Madrid oil, gas and energy forum. Migration Cooperation: In Tripoli, PM Abdul Hamid Dbeibah met Qatar’s minister to review a four-way Libya-Qatar-Türkiye-Italy mechanism to disrupt irregular migration, including a joint operations room and voluntary return support. Business Links: Misrata’s chamber welcomed a Chinese petroleum delegation, focusing on industrial solar, oil and petrochemical investment, and technology transfer. Regional Economic Context: Jordan reported trade surpluses with multiple Arab markets including Libya in H1 2026, underscoring continued North Africa-Arab trade ties. Global Market Pressure: Black Sea grain disruptions are boosting Baltic wheat bookings, with demand expected to spill toward Libya and Egypt if the situation persists.

Libya–Chevron Deal: Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) signed a production-sharing agreement with US energy giant Chevron, aiming to boost exploration, investment, and output with added expertise and technology. Oil Sector Operations: NOC also inaugurated a new crude oil flow measurement system at the Sidra terminal to improve export accuracy and transparency. PharmaGate Rollout: Libya’s Ministry of Health continues expanding its PharmaGate digital registration system, already registering 131 local and 53 foreign pharmaceutical companies, with plans to add electronic product registration. Central Bank FX Data: The Central Bank of Libya reported foreign-currency usage by banks of $15.987bn from January to end-July 2026, led by letters of credit, and noted 2,763 private-sector companies had FX requests approved. Electricity Update: GECOL’s new chairman says Libya’s power cuts should ease within 10–15 days, citing new grid units and progress on the South Tripoli power station. Migration Cooperation: In Tripoli, PM Abdul Hamid Dbeibah met Qatar’s Mohammed al-Khulaifi to review a four-way Libya–Qatar–Türkiye–Italy mechanism to curb irregular migration, including a joint operations room and voluntary return programs. Trade Link: Irish exports to Arab markets rose nearly 8% in the first half of 2026, with Libya among the listed destinations (though down year-on-year). Sports & Talent: Ghana midfielder Kwasi Sibo completed his move to Libyan champions Al-Swehly on a three-year deal, reportedly worth around $10m.

Libya-Qatar Migration Talks: Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibah met Qatar’s Foreign Ministry minister Mohammed al-Khulaifi in Tripoli to review progress on a four-way cooperation mechanism with Türkiye and Italy to curb irregular migration, expand border monitoring, and support voluntary returns, including a pilot operations room in Tripoli. Oil & Investment: Libya’s NOC signed a production-sharing agreement with Chevron, aiming to boost exploration, output, and technology transfer after a 2025 bidding round; separately, NOC inaugurated a new crude oil flow measurement system at Sidra terminal to improve export accuracy. Banking & FX: The Central Bank of Libya reported foreign-currency usage by banks of $15.987bn from January to end-July 2026, led by letters of credit, with 2,763 private companies/factories receiving approvals. Health Sector Digitisation: Libya’s Ministry of Health expanded PharmaGate, registering 131 local and 53 foreign pharma companies and moving toward electronic product registration. Power Reliability Push: GECOL’s new chairman Bashir Al-Marash said the electricity crisis should ease within 10–15 days as new units enter the grid, with fair load-shedding requiring computerised controls. Trade Signals: Irish exports to the Arab region rose nearly 8% in the first half of 2026, but shipments to Libya fell 33.2% to €14.3m. Sports Deal: Ghana midfielder Kwasi Sibo completed a three-year move to Libyan champions Al-Swehly, reportedly worth around $10m, ahead of their CAF Champions League campaign.

Libya–Sports & Talent Imports: Al-Swehly has signed Ghana midfielder Kwasi Sibo on a three-year deal (free agent), reportedly worth about $10m, as the club leans on a broader push to bring established African talent into the Libyan league. Energy Demand Management: Tripoli Centre will pilot a rule for cafes and restaurants to close by 10pm to cut electricity use amid Libya’s summer power crisis, which has already fed diesel demand, bread shortages, and business disruption. Power Grid Security: GECOL says it is investigating suspected sabotage at multiple substations after explosions and warns tampering could trigger a total blackout. Oil & Trade: Libya’s NOC and Chevron have signed/advanced production-sharing arrangements, while Libya also refers illegal oil export reports to prosecutors. Finance & Currency Policy: Libya’s central bank governor reiterated the need to align fiscal and monetary policies, as the government moves to regulate companies’ access to hard currency. Private-Sector Imports: Tunisia ranked among Libya’s top supplier countries for approved documentary-credit requests in early 2026, with Turkey leading overall. International Legal Pressure: The ICC confirmed charges in the Mitiga prison migrant-abuse case, signaling a long-awaited push for accountability tied to Libya’s detention system.

Electricity & Cost Controls in Tripoli: The Municipality of Tripoli Centre will pilot a rule pushing cafes and restaurants to close by 10pm to cut power demand amid Libya’s summer 2026 outages. Grid Security: GECOL says it is investigating suspected sabotage at substations after damage and warns tampering could trigger a full blackout. Oil & Investment: Libya’s NOC signed a production-sharing deal with Chevron for exploration in the Sirte Basin, aiming to boost output and attract technology. Anti-Smuggling Probe: Libya’s Presidential Council referred UN reports on alleged illegal oil exports and fuel diversion to the Prosecutor General, including scrutiny of Arkenu Chemicals. Monetary Policy Coordination: Central Bank Governor Nagy Issa stressed tighter integration between fiscal and monetary policies under the unified development agreement. Institution Building: Libya’s first Libyan Experts Forum in Tripoli sought to link diaspora expertise with state institutions, including in maritime and logistics. Identity Fraud Crackdown: Authorities highlighted a major case of forged national ID numbers and “paper life” fraud, showing how bribery can open state services. Business Diplomacy: PM Aldabaiba met KBR to discuss governance and project development support for Libya’s reform agenda.